Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Rice | W 34–14 | |
| Wk 2 | @ UCF | L 14–45 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Hawai'i | W 31–13 | |
| Wk 4 | vs New Mexico State | W 31–11 | — |
| Wk 5 | vs Texas State | W 40–39 | |
| Wk 6 | @ UTEP | W 41–21 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | vs Western Kentucky | L 14–31 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Florida International | W 10–7 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Louisiana Tech | W 9–3 | |
| Wk 11 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 12 | @ Kennesaw State | W 23–17 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Jacksonville State | L 11–21 | |
| Wk 14 | vs Liberty | W 20–18 | |
| R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl | vs Georgia Southern | W 31–26 |