Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Syracuse | L 22–38 | |
| Wk 2 | vs South Alabama | W 27–20 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Morgan State | W 21–6 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Kentucky | L 6–41 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Akron | W 30–10 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | @ Central Michigan | W 27–25 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Miami (OH) | L 20–30 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Buffalo | W 47–16 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | @ Kent State | W 41–0 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Eastern Michigan | W 35–10 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Toledo | W 24–7 | |
| Wk 14 | vs Ball State | W 42–21 | |
| Mac Championship | @ Miami (OH) | W 38–3 | |
| Staffdna Cure Bowl | @ Jacksonville State | W 30–27 |