Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Western Illinois | W 54–15 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Notre Dame | W 16–14 | |
| Wk 3 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 4 | vs Buffalo | L 20–23 | |
| Wk 5 | @ NC State | L 17–24 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Massachusetts | W 34–20 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Bowling Green | W 17–7 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Toledo | L 6–13 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Ball State | L 23–25 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | @ Western Michigan | W 42–28 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Akron | W 29–16 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Miami (OH) | L 9–20 | |
| Wk 14 | vs Central Michigan | W 24–16 | |
| Famous Idaho Potato Bowl | @ Fresno State | W 28–20 |