Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs North Alabama | W 40–0 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Troy | W 38–17 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Florida State | W 20–12 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Navy | L 44–56 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Middle Tennessee | W 24–7 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | @ South Florida | W 21–3 | |
| Wk 8 | vs North Texas | W 52–44 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Charlotte | W 33–28 | |
| Wk 10 | @ UTSA | L 36–44 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Rice | W 27–20 | |
| Wk 12 | vs UAB | W 53–18 | |
| Wk 13 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 14 | @ Tulane | W 34–24 | |
| Scooter'S Coffee Frisco Bowl | @ West Virginia | W 42–37 |