Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Stony Brook | W 45–3 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Virginia Tech | L 14–31 | |
| Wk 3 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 4 | @ Ohio State | L 14–49 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Western Michigan | W 27–20 | |
| Wk 6 | vs App State | W 52–37 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Georgia Southern | L 23–24 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Georgia State | W 35–20 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | vs UL Monroe | W 28–23 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Southern Miss | W 37–3 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Coastal Carolina | W 31–19 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Old Dominion | W 42–35 | |
| Wk 14 | @ James Madison | W 35–33 | |
| Sun Belt Championship | @ Louisiana | W 31–3 |