Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Campbell | W 41–24 | |
| Wk 2 | @ New Mexico State | W 30–24 | |
| Wk 3 | vs UTEP | W 28–10 | |
| Wk 4 | vs East Carolina | W 35–24 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | vs Florida International | W 31–24 | |
| Wk 8 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 9 | @ Kennesaw State | L 24–27 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Jacksonville State | L 21–31 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Middle Tennessee | W 37–17 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Massachusetts | W 35–34 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Western Kentucky | W 38–21 | |
| Wk 14 | @ Sam Houston | L 18–20 | |
| Bahamas Bowl Presented By Atlantis Resorts | vs Buffalo | L 7–26 |