Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Charlotte | W 30–7 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 13–6 | |
| Wk 3 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 4 | @ North Carolina | W 70–50 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Ball State | W 63–7 | |
| Wk 6 | @ UL Monroe | L 19–21 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Coastal Carolina | W 39–7 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Georgia Southern | L 14–28 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Southern Miss | W 32–15 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | vs Georgia State | W 38–7 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Old Dominion | W 35–32 | |
| Wk 13 | @ App State | L 20–34 | |
| Wk 14 | vs Marshall | L 33–35 | |
| Boca Raton Bowl | vs Western Kentucky | W 27–17 |