Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Coastal Carolina | L 27–55 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Louisville | L 14–49 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Eastern Michigan | L 34–37 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Southern Miss | W 44–7 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | @ Kennesaw State | W 63–24 | |
| Wk 7 | vs New Mexico State | W 54–13 | |
| Wk 8 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 9 | vs Middle Tennessee | W 42–20 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Liberty | W 31–21 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Louisiana Tech | W 44–37 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Florida International | W 34–31 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Sam Houston | W 21–11 | |
| Wk 14 | @ Western Kentucky | L 17–19 | |
| Conference Usa Championship | vs Western Kentucky | W 52–12 | |
| Staffdna Cure Bowl | vs Ohio | L 27–30 |