Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Boise State | L 45–56 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Nevada | W 20–17 | |
| Wk 3 | vs South Carolina State | W 42–14 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Ole Miss | L 13–52 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Georgia State | W 38–21 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | vs Marshall | W 24–23 | |
| Wk 8 | vs James Madison | W 28–14 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Old Dominion | L 19–47 | |
| Wk 10 | @ South Alabama | W 34–30 | |
| Wk 11 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 12 | vs Troy | L 20–28 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Coastal Carolina | W 26–6 | |
| Wk 14 | vs App State | W 29–20 | |
| R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl | @ Sam Houston | L 26–31 |