Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Southern Illinois | W 41–13 | |
| Wk 2 | @ SMU | W 18–15 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Wyoming | W 34–14 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Kansas State | W 38–9 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Baylor | W 34–28 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | vs Arizona | W 41–19 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Oklahoma State | W 38–35 | |
| Wk 9 | @ UCF | W 37–24 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | @ Utah | W 22–21 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Kansas | L 13–17 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Arizona State | L 23–28 | |
| Wk 14 | vs Houston | W 30–18 | |
| Valero Alamo Bowl | @ Colorado | W 36–14 |