Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Georgia Southern | W 56–45 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Oregon | L 34–37 | |
| Wk 3 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 4 | vs Portland State | W 56–14 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Washington State | W 45–24 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Utah State | W 62–30 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Hawai'i | W 28–7 | |
| Wk 8 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 9 | @ UNLV | W 29–24 | |
| Wk 10 | vs San Diego State | W 56–24 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Nevada | W 28–21 | |
| Wk 12 | @ San José State | W 42–21 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Wyoming | W 17–13 | |
| Wk 14 | vs Oregon State | W 34–18 | |
| Mountain West Championship | vs UNLV | W 21–7 | |
| Quarterfinal | vs Penn State | L 14–31 |