Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Lehigh | W 42–7 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Florida Atlantic | W 24–7 | |
| Wk 3 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 4 | vs Rice | W 37–14 | — |
| Wk 5 | @ Temple | W 42–14 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Tulsa | W 49–7 | |
| Wk 7 | vs UAB | W 44–10 | |
| Wk 8 | vs East Carolina | W 45–28 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | vs Air Force | W 20–3 | |
| Wk 11 | @ North Texas | W 14–3 | |
| Wk 12 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 13 | @ Notre Dame | L 14–49 | |
| Wk 14 | vs UTSA | W 29–24 | |
| American Athletic Championship | vs Tulane | W 35–14 | |
| Wk 16 | vs Navy | L 13–31 | |
| Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl | vs Louisiana Tech | W 27–6 |