Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Central Arkansas | W 34–31 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Tulsa | W 28–24 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Michigan | L 18–28 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Iowa State | L 7–52 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | vs South Alabama | W 18–16 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Texas State | L 9–41 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Southern Miss | W 44–28 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Troy | W 34–31 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | @ Louisiana | L 19–55 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Georgia State | W 27–20 | |
| Wk 13 | vs UL Monroe | W 28–21 | |
| Wk 14 | vs Old Dominion | L 32–40 | |
| 68 Ventures Bowl | @ Bowling Green | W 38–31 |