Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Houston | L 14–17 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Texas State | W 20–13 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Army | L 29–37 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Tennessee | L 14–45 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | @ Temple | W 49–34 | |
| Wk 7 | vs UAB | W 41–20 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Florida Atlantic | W 36–10 | |
| Wk 9 | vs East Carolina | W 41–27 | |
| Wk 10 | @ North Texas | W 37–29 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Rice | W 34–14 | |
| Wk 12 | vs South Florida | W 49–21 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Tulane | L 16–29 | |
| Scooter'S Coffee Frisco Bowl | @ Marshall | W 35–17 |