Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 0 | @ Jacksonville State | L 14–17 | |
| Wk 1 | vs Incarnate Word | W 28–14 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Northwestern | L 7–38 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Arizona | L 10–31 | |
| Wk 4 | vs UNLV | L 28–45 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Louisiana Tech | L 10–24 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | @ Florida International | W 27–14 | |
| Wk 8 | vs New Mexico State | L 7–28 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Sam Houston | W 37–34 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Western Kentucky | L 13–21 | |
| Wk 11 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 12 | @ Middle Tennessee | L 30–34 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Liberty | L 28–42 |