Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Bryant | W 44–14 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Michigan | L 7–35 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Vanderbilt | W 40–37 | |
| Wk 4 | @ UTEP | W 45–28 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Hawai'i | W 44–20 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | @ Nevada | W 45–27 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Colorado State | W 25–23 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Fresno State | L 24–31 | |
| Wk 10 | @ New Mexico | W 56–14 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Wyoming | W 34–14 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Air Force | W 31–27 | |
| Wk 13 | vs San José State | L 31–37 | |
| Mountain West Championship | vs Boise State | L 20–44 | |
| Guaranteed Rate Bowl | vs Kansas | L 36–49 |