Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs South Alabama | W 37–17 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Ole Miss | L 20–37 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Southern Miss | W 21–3 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Nicholls | W 36–7 | |
| Wk 5 | vs UAB | W 35–23 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | @ Memphis | W 31–21 | |
| Wk 8 | vs North Texas | W 35–28 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Rice | W 30–28 | |
| Wk 10 | @ East Carolina | W 13–10 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Tulsa | W 24–22 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Florida Atlantic | W 24–8 | |
| Wk 13 | vs UTSA | W 29–16 | |
| American Athletic Championship | vs SMU | L 14–26 | |
| Com | vs Virginia Tech | L 20–41 |