Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Stephen F. Austin | W 48–30 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Kansas State | L 13–42 | |
| Wk 3 | vs James Madison | L 14–16 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Western Kentucky | W 27–24 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Georgia State | W 28–7 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Arkansas State | W 37–3 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Army | W 19–0 | |
| Wk 8 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 9 | @ Texas State | W 31–13 | |
| Wk 10 | vs South Alabama | W 28–10 | |
| Wk 11 | @ UL Monroe | W 45–14 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Louisiana | W 31–24 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Southern Miss | W 35–17 | |
| 76 Birmingham Bowl | @ Duke | L 10–17 |