Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Baylor | W 42–31 | |
| Wk 2 | @ UTSA | L 13–20 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Jackson State | W 77–34 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Nevada | W 35–24 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Southern Miss | W 50–36 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Louisiana | L 30–34 | |
| Wk 7 | vs UL Monroe | W 21–20 | |
| Wk 8 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 9 | vs Troy | L 13–31 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Georgia Southern | W 45–24 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Coastal Carolina | L 23–31 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Arkansas State | L 31–77 | |
| Wk 13 | vs South Alabama | W 52–44 | |
| Servpro First Responder Bowl | @ Rice | W 45–21 |