Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Tulane | L 17–37 | |
| Wk 2 | vs SE Louisiana | W 35–17 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Oklahoma State | W 33–7 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Central Michigan | L 30–34 | |
| Wk 5 | @ James Madison | L 23–31 | |
| Wk 6 | @ UL Monroe | W 55–7 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | vs Southern Miss | W 55–3 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Louisiana | L 20–33 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Troy | L 10–28 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Arkansas State | W 21–14 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Marshall | W 28–0 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Texas State | L 44–52 | |
| 68 Ventures Bowl | @ Eastern Michigan | W 59–10 |