Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 0 | @ USC | L 28–56 | |
| Wk 1 | vs Oregon State | L 17–42 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Cal Poly | W 59–3 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Toledo | L 17–21 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Air Force | L 20–45 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | @ Boise State | L 27–35 | |
| Wk 7 | @ New Mexico | W 52–24 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Utah State | W 42–21 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Hawai'i | W 35–0 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | vs Fresno State | W 42–18 | |
| Wk 12 | vs San Diego State | W 24–13 | |
| Wk 13 | @ UNLV | W 37–31 | |
| Easypost HawaiʻI Bowl | vs Coastal Carolina | L 14–24 |