Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Texas | L 10–37 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Houston | W 43–41 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Texas Southern | W 59–7 | |
| Wk 4 | @ South Florida | L 29–42 | |
| Wk 5 | vs East Carolina | W 24–17 | |
| Wk 6 | vs UConn | L 31–38 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | @ Tulsa | W 42–10 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Tulane | L 28–30 | |
| Wk 10 | vs SMU | L 31–36 | |
| Wk 11 | @ UTSA | L 14–34 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Charlotte | W 28–7 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Florida Atlantic | W 24–21 | |
| Servpro First Responder Bowl | vs Texas State | L 21–45 |