Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 0 | vs Massachusetts | L 30–41 | |
| Wk 1 | vs Western Illinois | W 58–21 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Liberty | L 17–33 | |
| Wk 3 | @ New Mexico | W 27–17 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Hawai'i | L 17–20 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | vs Florida International | W 34–17 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Sam Houston | W 27–13 | |
| Wk 8 | @ UTEP | W 28–7 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Louisiana Tech | W 27–24 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Middle Tennessee | W 13–7 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Western Kentucky | W 38–29 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Auburn | W 31–10 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Jacksonville State | W 20–17 | |
| Isleta New Mexico Bowl | @ Fresno State | L 10–37 |