Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Miami | L 3–38 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Massachusetts | W 41–28 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Cincinnati | W 31–24 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Delaware State | W 62–20 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Kent State | W 23–3 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Bowling Green | W 27–0 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Western Michigan | W 34–21 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Toledo | L 17–21 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Ohio | W 30–16 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | vs Akron | W 19–0 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Buffalo | W 23–10 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Ball State | W 17–15 | |
| Mac Championship | @ Toledo | W 23–14 | |
| Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl | @ App State | L 9–13 |