Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 56–14 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Arkansas State | W 37–3 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Navy | W 28–24 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Missouri | L 27–34 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Boise State | W 35–32 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | vs Tulane | L 21–31 | |
| Wk 8 | @ UAB | W 45–21 | |
| Wk 9 | @ North Texas | W 45–42 | |
| Wk 10 | vs South Florida | W 59–50 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Charlotte | W 44–38 | |
| Wk 12 | vs SMU | L 34–38 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Temple | W 45–21 | |
| Autozone Liberty Bowl | @ Iowa State | W 36–26 |