Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Northwestern State | W 38–13 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Old Dominion | L 31–38 | |
| Wk 3 | @ UAB | W 41–21 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Buffalo | W 45–38 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Minnesota | L 24–35 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Texas State | W 34–30 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | vs Georgia State | L 17–20 | |
| Wk 9 | @ South Alabama | W 33–20 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Arkansas State | L 17–37 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Southern Miss | L 31–34 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Troy | L 24–31 | |
| Wk 13 | vs UL Monroe | W 52–21 | |
| R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl | vs Jacksonville State | L 31–34 |