Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Missouri State | W 48–17 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Illinois | W 34–23 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Nevada | W 31–24 | |
| Wk 4 | vs BYU | W 38–27 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Texas | L 14–40 | |
| Wk 6 | vs UCF | W 51–22 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Oklahoma State | L 32–39 | |
| Wk 8 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 9 | vs Oklahoma | W 38–33 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Iowa State | W 28–21 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Texas Tech | L 13–16 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Kansas State | L 27–31 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Cincinnati | W 49–16 | |
| Wk 14 | Bye | — | — |
| Guaranteed Rate Bowl | @ UNLV | W 49–36 |