Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Southeast Missouri State | W 45–0 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Troy | W 42–13 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Missouri | L 27–30 | |
| Wk 4 | vs UCF | W 44–31 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | @ Oklahoma State | L 21–29 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Texas Tech | W 38–21 | |
| Wk 8 | vs TCU | W 41–3 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Houston | W 41–0 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Texas | L 30–33 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Baylor | W 59–25 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Kansas | W 31–27 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Iowa State | L 35–42 | |
| Pop-Tarts Bowl | vs NC State | W 28–19 |