Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Bucknell | W 38–3 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Virginia | W 36–35 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Troy | W 16–14 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Utah State | W 45–38 | |
| Wk 5 | vs South Alabama | W 31–23 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | vs Georgia Southern | W 41–13 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Marshall | W 20–9 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Old Dominion | W 30–27 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Georgia State | W 42–14 | |
| Wk 11 | vs UConn | W 44–6 | |
| Wk 12 | vs App State | L 23–26 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Coastal Carolina | W 56–14 | |
| Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl | @ Air Force | L 21–31 |