Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 0 | vs UTEP | W 17–14 | |
| Wk 1 | vs East Tennessee State | W 49–3 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Coastal Carolina | L 16–30 | |
| Wk 3 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 4 | vs Eastern Michigan | W 21–0 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Sam Houston | W 35–28 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Middle Tennessee | W 45–30 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Liberty | L 13–31 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Western Kentucky | W 20–17 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Florida International | W 41–16 | |
| Wk 10 | @ South Carolina | L 28–38 | |
| Wk 11 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 12 | vs Louisiana Tech | W 56–17 | |
| Wk 13 | @ New Mexico State | L 17–20 | |
| R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl | @ Louisiana | W 34–31 |