Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Rhode Island | W 42–35 | |
| Wk 2 | vs UConn | W 35–14 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Charlotte | W 41–25 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Coastal Carolina | W 30–17 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Troy | L 7–28 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | vs Marshall | W 41–24 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Louisiana | W 20–17 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Georgia Southern | L 27–44 | |
| Wk 10 | vs James Madison | L 14–42 | |
| Wk 11 | vs App State | L 14–42 | |
| Wk 12 | @ LSU | L 14–56 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Old Dominion | L 24–25 | |
| Famous Idaho Potato Bowl | @ Utah State | W 45–22 |