Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 0 | @ Louisiana Tech | L 17–22 | |
| Wk 1 | vs Maine | W 14–12 | |
| Wk 2 | vs North Texas | W 46–39 | |
| Wk 3 | @ UConn | W 24–17 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Liberty | L 6–38 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | @ New Mexico State | L 17–34 | |
| Wk 7 | vs UTEP | L 14–27 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Sam Houston | W 33–27 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Jacksonville State | L 16–41 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | @ Middle Tennessee | L 6–40 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Arkansas | L 20–44 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Western Kentucky | L 28–41 |