Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Monmouth | W 42–20 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Ohio | L 10–17 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Clemson | L 14–48 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Illinois | L 17–23 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | vs Tulsa | W 20–17 | |
| Wk 7 | @ South Florida | W 56–14 | |
| Wk 8 | vs UTSA | L 10–36 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Charlotte | W 38–16 | |
| Wk 10 | @ UAB | L 42–45 | |
| Wk 11 | vs East Carolina | L 7–22 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Tulane | L 8–24 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Rice | L 21–24 |