Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ UCLA | L 13–27 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Jacksonville State | W 30–16 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Duquesne | W 66–7 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Georgia State | L 17–30 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Georgia Southern | L 28–38 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | @ App State | W 27–24 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Arkansas State | W 27–17 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Marshall | W 34–6 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Old Dominion | W 28–24 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Texas State | W 31–23 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Army | L 21–28 | |
| Wk 13 | vs James Madison | L 14–56 | |
| Easypost HawaiʻI Bowl | @ San José State | W 24–14 |