Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Liberty | L 24–34 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Eastern Illinois | W 38–15 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Michigan | L 6–31 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Ohio | L 7–38 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Georgia Tech | W 38–27 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Miami (OH) | L 0–27 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Buffalo | W 24–14 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Akron | W 41–14 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | vs Ball State | W 24–21 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Kent State | W 49–19 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Toledo | L 31–32 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Western Michigan | W 34–10 | |
| Quick Lane Bowl | @ Minnesota | L 24–30 |