Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Washington | L 19–56 | |
| Wk 2 | vs UCF | L 16–18 | |
| Wk 3 | vs North Dakota | W 42–18 | |
| Wk 4 | @ San Diego State | W 34–31 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Memphis | L 32–35 | |
| Wk 6 | vs San José State | W 35–27 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Colorado State | L 30–31 | |
| Wk 8 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 9 | vs Wyoming | W 32–7 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Fresno State | L 30–37 | |
| Wk 11 | vs New Mexico | W 42–14 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Utah State | W 45–10 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Air Force | W 27–19 | |
| Mountain West Championship | @ UNLV | W 44–20 | |
| Starco Brands La Bowl | vs UCLA | L 22–35 |