Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 45–24 | |
| Wk 2 | @ North Carolina | L 34–40 | |
| Wk 3 | vs East Carolina | W 43–28 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Wyoming | L 19–22 | |
| Wk 5 | @ UL Monroe | W 41–40 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | vs Coastal Carolina | L 24–27 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Old Dominion | L 21–28 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Southern Miss | W 48–38 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Marshall | W 31–9 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Georgia State | W 42–14 | |
| Wk 12 | @ James Madison | W 26–23 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Georgia Southern | W 55–27 | |
| Sun Belt Championship | @ Troy | L 23–49 | |
| Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl | vs Miami (OH) | W 13–9 |