Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 0 | @ Illinois | L 6–38 | |
| Wk 1 | vs Tulsa | W 40–37 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Northern Colorado | W 33–10 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Air Force | W 17–14 | |
| Wk 4 | @ BYU | L 24–38 | |
| Wk 5 | vs San José State | L 16–33 | |
| Wk 6 | @ New Mexico | W 27–14 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | vs Utah State | W 28–14 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Hawai'i | W 27–20 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | @ Colorado State | W 14–13 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Boise State | L 17–20 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Fresno State | L 0–30 | |
| Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl | vs Ohio | L 27–30 |