Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 0 | vs Austin Peay | W 38–27 | |
| Wk 1 | @ Hawai'i | W 49–17 | |
| Wk 2 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 3 | @ Indiana | L 30–33 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Florida International | W 73–0 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Troy | L 27–34 | |
| Wk 6 | @ UTSA | L 28–31 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Middle Tennessee | W 35–17 | |
| Wk 8 | vs UAB | W 20–17 | |
| Wk 9 | vs North Texas | L 13–40 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Charlotte | W 59–7 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Rice | W 45–10 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Auburn | L 17–41 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Florida Atlantic | W 32–31 | |
| R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl | @ South Alabama | W 44–23 |