Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Houston | L 35–37 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Army | W 41–38 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Texas | L 20–41 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Texas Southern | W 52–24 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Middle Tennessee | W 45–30 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Western Kentucky | W 31–28 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Florida International | W 30–10 | |
| Wk 8 | vs North Texas | W 31–27 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | @ UAB | W 44–38 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Louisiana Tech | W 51–7 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Rice | W 41–7 | |
| Wk 13 | vs UTEP | W 34–31 | |
| Conference Usa Championship | vs North Texas | W 48–27 | |
| Duluth Trading Cure Bowl | @ Troy | L 12–18 |