Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 0 | vs North Texas | L 13–31 | |
| Wk 1 | @ Oklahoma | L 13–45 | |
| Wk 2 | vs New Mexico State | W 20–13 | |
| Wk 3 | @ New Mexico | L 10–27 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Boise State | W 27–10 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Charlotte | W 41–35 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Louisiana Tech | L 31–41 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | vs Florida Atlantic | W 24–21 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Middle Tennessee | L 13–24 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Rice | L 30–37 | |
| Wk 11 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 12 | vs Florida International | W 40–6 | |
| Wk 13 | @ UTSA | L 31–34 |