Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 0 | vs UConn | W 31–20 | |
| Wk 1 | @ Alabama | L 0–55 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Weber State | L 7–35 | |
| Wk 3 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 4 | vs UNLV | L 24–34 | |
| Wk 5 | @ BYU | L 26–38 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Air Force | W 34–27 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Colorado State | W 17–13 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Wyoming | L 14–28 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | vs New Mexico | W 27–10 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Hawai'i | W 41–34 | |
| Wk 12 | vs San José State | W 35–31 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Boise State | L 23–42 | |
| Servpro First Responder Bowl | vs Memphis | L 10–38 |