Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Ole Miss | L 10–28 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Alabama A&M | W 38–17 | |
| Wk 3 | @ App State | L 28–32 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Marshall | W 16–7 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Western Kentucky | W 34–27 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Southern Miss | W 27–10 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Texas State | W 17–14 | |
| Wk 8 | @ South Alabama | W 10–6 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | @ Louisiana | W 23–17 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Army | W 10–9 | |
| Wk 12 | vs UL Monroe | W 34–16 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Arkansas State | W 48–19 | |
| Sun Belt Championship | vs Coastal Carolina | W 45–26 | |
| Duluth Trading Cure Bowl | vs UTSA | W 18–12 |