Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Liberty | L 27–29 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Miami | L 7–30 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Northwestern State | W 64–10 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Tulane | W 27–24 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | @ Troy | L 10–27 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Arkansas State | W 20–19 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Texas State | W 20–14 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Louisiana | W 39–24 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Georgia State | L 14–42 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Coastal Carolina | L 23–26 | |
| Wk 12 | vs South Alabama | L 20–27 | |
| Wk 13 | @ UL Monroe | W 20–10 | |
| Lendingtree Bowl | vs Rice | W 38–24 |