Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Nicholls | W 48–7 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Central Michigan | W 38–24 | |
| Wk 3 | @ UCLA | L 31–32 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Louisiana Tech | W 38–14 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Louisiana | W 20–17 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | vs UL Monroe | W 41–34 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Troy | L 6–10 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Arkansas State | W 31–3 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Georgia Southern | W 38–31 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Texas State | W 38–21 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Southern Miss | W 27–20 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Old Dominion | W 27–20 | |
| R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl | vs Western Kentucky | L 23–44 |