Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ North Texas | W 48–10 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Lamar | W 45–16 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Maryland | L 27–34 | |
| Wk 4 | vs TCU | L 34–42 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | @ UCF | L 19–41 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Navy | W 40–34 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Cincinnati | L 27–29 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Tulsa | W 45–34 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Houston | W 77–63 | |
| Wk 11 | @ South Florida | W 41–23 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Tulane | L 24–59 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Memphis | W 34–31 | |
| New Mexico Bowl | @ BYU | L 23–24 |