Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Arizona | L 20–38 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Idaho State | W 38–7 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Utah | L 7–35 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Toledo | W 17–14 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Boise State | L 13–35 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Hawai'i | W 16–14 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | @ Nevada | W 23–7 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Fresno State | L 28–32 | |
| Wk 10 | vs UNLV | W 14–10 | |
| Wk 11 | vs San José State | W 43–27 | |
| Wk 12 | @ New Mexico | W 34–10 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Air Force | L 3–13 | |
| Easypost Hawai'I Bowl | vs Middle Tennessee | L 23–25 |