Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Central Michigan | W 58–44 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Arizona State | W 34–17 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 63–7 | |
| Wk 4 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 5 | @ Baylor | W 36–25 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Texas Tech | W 41–31 | |
| Wk 7 | @ TCU | L 40–43 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Texas | W 41–34 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Kansas State | L 0–48 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Kansas | L 16–37 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Iowa State | W 20–14 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Oklahoma | L 13–28 | |
| Wk 13 | vs West Virginia | L 19–24 | |
| Guaranteed Rate Bowl | vs Wisconsin | L 17–24 |