Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Florida Atlantic | W 41–38 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Penn State | L 10–46 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Iowa State | L 10–43 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Fordham | W 59–52 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Kent State | L 24–31 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Akron | W 55–34 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Western Michigan | W 33–14 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Northern Illinois | W 24–17 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | vs Buffalo | W 45–24 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Miami (OH) | W 37–21 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Ball State | W 32–18 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Bowling Green | W 38–14 | |
| Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl | @ Wyoming | W 30–27 |