Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 0 | @ UTEP | W 31–13 | |
| Wk 1 | vs SMU | L 10–48 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Texas Southern | W 59–27 | |
| Wk 3 | @ UNLV | L 27–58 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Memphis | L 34–44 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Florida Atlantic | W 45–28 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | vs Louisiana Tech | W 47–27 | |
| Wk 8 | @ UTSA | L 27–31 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Western Kentucky | W 40–13 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Florida International | W 52–14 | |
| Wk 11 | @ UAB | L 21–41 | |
| Wk 12 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 13 | vs Rice | W 21–17 | |
| Conference Usa Championship | @ UTSA | L 27–48 | |
| Frisco Bowl Presented By Servpro | @ Boise State | L 32–35 |